JIA Shanghui, CHEN Xinhui, JIN Jiayu
Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics.
2025, 0(2):
105-121.
Global climate change has raised concerns among governments and investors about the transmission of climate risks to the stock market, further driving the demand for effective financial tools. This paper analyzes climate risks in global stock markets to support China in developing green finance policies, enhancing the resilience of the financial system, accelerating innovation in green financial products, and promoting the sustainable transformation of capital markets.The study, based on daily return data from the Climate Change Index and nine stock industry indices from 2013 to 2023, uses the Copula-CoVaR model to explore the contagion effects of extreme climate risks on industry tail risks.The results show that climate change significantly impacts the stock market, particularly in energy-related industries such as electricity, fossil fuels, and renewable energy.To effectively mitigate climate risks, the paper constructs a GARCH hedging model based on the contagion risk model, calculates the optimal hedging ratios between the Climate Change Index and each industry index, and evaluates their risk-hedging effects.The findings indicate that the Climate Change Index has a significant risk-hedging effect across all industries.This research provides valuable insights for market participants in managing market risks, formulating investment strategies, and asset pricing, effectively reducing the impact of climate change risks on investors.